Predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and bilirubin levels in the readmission of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Abstract

Background

The aim of this study was to analyze acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) readmission events and to determine whether neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and bilirubin levels were associated with readmission after discharge due to AECOPD.

Methods

A total of 170 patients with AECOPD were included. Patients were stratified into the readmission group if patients had two or more readmissions within 2 years of the previous discharge, and the non-readmission group with one readmission or none within 2 years of the last discharge. Data were collected and compared between groups. The patients were separated by the cutoffs of NLR and bilirubin level. The number of all-cause readmissions within 2 years, time to first COPD-related readmission, 1-year/2-year COPD-related readmission, 1-year/2-year all-cause mortality were compared between groups, respectively.

Results

Compared with the readmission group, patients of the non-readmission group had a shorter length of hospital stay, more systemic corticosteroid use, higher NLR, higher bilirubin levels, and lower eosinophils counts ( p < 0.05). NLR and bilirubin levels on admission had significant association with the number of all-cause readmissions ( p < 0.05). Lower bilirubin was associated with an increased risk of 1-year COPD-related readmission (OR 5.063) and 2-year COPD-related readmission (OR 4.699).

Conclusions

For patients with AECOPD, longer hospital stay, and less use of systemic corticosteroids may be associated with a higher risk of readmission. NLR and bilirubin levels on admission may be related to the number of all-cause readmissions. Bilirubin can be regarded as a biomarker to predict readmission rates within 2 years after discharged throughout the course of the disease.