Abstract
Australian accreditation standards specify upper limits for percentages of women recalled for further assessment following screening mammography. These limits have been unchanged since national screening commenced circa 1990, although screening target ages have changed, and technology from analogue to digital mammography. This study compared 2804 women with interval cancers diagnosed since national screening began (cases) with 14,020 cancer-free controls (5 controls per case), randomly selected after matching by age, round, screen type and calendar year of screening episode, to determine the odds of interval cancer by differences in clinic recall to assessment percentages. Within low numbers of recalls that were within accepted accreditation ranges, results did not indicate more frequent recalls to assessment to be associated with fewer interval cancers in the analogue era. However, more frequent recalls were associated with reduced interval cancers for digital screens. These results are not conclusive, requiring confirmation in other screening environments, especially those with larger numbers of digital screens. If confirmed, frequency of recalls to assessment may need adjustment to get the best trade-offs in the digital era between reduced odds of interval cancers from more recalls and increases in financial and non-financial costs, including increased potential for overdiagnosis.
Highlights
- • Recall to assessment standards have not changed in Australian breast screening.
- • Age ranges have changed and technology from film to digital mammography.
- • Odds of interval cancers were compared by recall to assessment frequency.
- • Recall frequency was associated with odds of interval cancer for digital screens.
- • The study is exploratory – results need confirmation, particularly digital results.
1Introduction
Australian breast screening standards specify recall to assessment proportions < 10% for first-round and < 5% for subsequent screens . These standards have applied since national screening began circa 1990, targeting women aged 50–69 years to mid-2013 and then 50–74 years . Screening also was available on request for ages 40–49 years . These standards were informed by the 1986 U.K. Forrest report and analogue screening data . Screening environments have since changed in age compositions of women screened . Also, digital screens used in BreastScreen South Australia from late 2012 may have influenced screening outcomes, including risks of interval cancers and assessment requirements .
We investigated whether odds of interval cancers differed in South Australia by recall to assessment frequency. This was done by age, initial and subsequent screens, and whether the screen preceding the interval cancer was digital or analogue. Analyses took the form of separate studies of subgroups of interest, although combined results were analysed to indicate extent of heterogeneity.
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